law, employment decisions of this type are conclusively presumed to be adverse employment actions, even if any alleged harm is speculative. See, e.g., Cones, 199 F.3d at 521.
On the other hand, some actions do not obviously cause a significant change in employment status. The last example of an adverse employment action discussed in Taylor — “a decision causing significant change in benefits” — alone requires an employee to explain how the employer’s action harmed his employment status. For employment actions that do not obviously result in a significant change in employment status — such as giving a poor performance evaluation, reassigning office space and equipment, or, for that matter, fielding a company softball team— an employee must go the further step of demonstrating how the decision nonetheless caused such an objectively tangible harm. As Russell indicates, this additional step (which, by the way, is not “newly minted,” Dis. Op. at 557, as illustrated by Russell itself) requires us to consider whether the alleged harm is unduly speculative. Showing that harm is not speculative need not be a difficult task, and it often is not. For example, a benefit such as a bonus — or, by logical extension, a pay raise — is objectively tangible because it has a “direct, measurable, and immediate effect” upon the employee’s compensation. Russell, 257 F.3d at 818-19. By parity of reasoning, the loss of a bonus or of a raise likewise has such an effect. Other changes in benefits, however, do not have such a straightforward effect upon employment status. For example, under Russell, the effect of a poor evaluation is ordinarily too speculative to be actionable. See id. at 818. If, however, that evaluation determines the bonus, as in Russell, id. at 818-19, and Weber v. Battista, 494 F.3d 179, 184-85 (D.C.Cir.2007), then the employee may show the evaluation caused an objectively tangible harm.
The Presidential Rank Award recognizes extraordinary performance. It is not earned in the ordinary course of employment for adequate or even superior work or for meeting or exceeding established goals. Instead, it is intended to reward outstanding leadership and innovation — indefinable star qualities that are by their very nature subjective. See 5 U.S.C. § 4507(e) (Meritorious Executive Award for “sustained accomplishment” and Distinguished Executive Award for “sustained extraordinary accomplishment”). Failure to make the cut for such an award cannot be deemed a significant change in responsibilities; nor would elimination from the competition affect employment opportunities in an objectively tangible way. Therefore, unlike failure to be promoted, failure to be recommended for a Presidential Rank Award is not categorically an adverse employment action.
Moreover, the inherent uncertainty in the Presidential Rank Award process means there can be no direct tie between a nomination and an award. A departmental recommendation is but a single point in the assessment, one cog in a complex machine. As observed by the district court, “of the thirty-two candidates nominated by their department heads in 1999-2004, only sixteen ultimately received an award.” In fact, Douglas himself was recommended but not selected in 2001. Because of the many moving parts involved in selecting a Presidential Rank Award winner — including multiple rounds of independent evaluation both inside and outside of HUD, with a final decision by the President — even if Weicher had recommended Douglas, it is quite uncertain whether the President ultimately would have selected Douglas to receive an Award, rendering any harm from the failure to recommend “speculative” and “difficult to remedy.” Russell, 257 F.3d at 818. Because a recommendation for a Presidential Rank Award does